Male Earnings, Marriageable Men, and Non-Marital Fertility: Evidence from the Fracking Boom
Kearney, Melissa and Riley Wilson
,
Review of Economics and Statistics
February
2018
Abstract
There has been a well-documented retreat from marriage among less educated individuals in the U.S. and non-marital childbearing has become the norm among young mothers and mothers with low levels of education. One hypothesis is that the declining economic position of men in these populations is at least partially responsible for these trends. We consider the reverse hypothesis that an increase in potential earnings of less-educated men would lead to an increase in the marriage rate and a decrease in the non-marital birth rate.